Why
are recently vaccinated babies and babies with
infections at higher risk of cot death?
The fever which results from
infection and which can also follow
vaccination results in increased temperature
in the baby's cot. If bedding in the cot is
capable of toxic gas generation, a rise in
temperature of (say) three degrees Celsius
in the cot can result in a tenfold increase
in the rate of gas generation.
Why does the
risk of cot death rise from one baby in a
family to the next?
Many parents re-use cot
mattresses from one baby to the next. If a
mattress contains phosphorus, arsenic or
antimony and certain household fungi have
become established in the mattress during
previous use by another baby, generation of
toxic gas commences sooner and in greater
volume when the mattress is re-used for the
next baby.
Why do babies
of solo parents have a very high cot death
rate?
For economic reasons, solo
parents are more likely to sleep their
babies on previously used mattresses which
they have acquired secondhand. The risk of
cot death increases as a mattress is re-used
from one baby to the next.
Why
does overheating increase cot death risk?
The extra
warmth in the baby's cot causes the fungus
to increase gas generation. A rise in
temperature of three degrees Celsius in a
baby's cot can cause gas generation to
increase tenfold or more.
Why
do more cot deaths occur in winter than in
summer?
During winter
babies frequently use more bedding,
resulting in greater risk of overheating in
the cot and thus greater risk of gas
generation. Also, windows and doors are more
likely to be closed during winter,
decreasing ventilation around the baby's
cot. As a result, draughts which could cause
gases to disperse are reduced or eliminated.
Why does
face-up sleeping reduce the risk of cot
death?
The gases
which cause cot death (phosphines,
arsines and stibines) are all more dense
than air. They diffuse away from a baby's
mattress towards the floor, so a baby
sleeping face-up is less likely to ingest
them.
Why
does bedsharing between adults and babies
pose cot death risk?
Adults' mattresses
frequently contain the same chemicals and
fungi as babies mattresses, and therefore
can generate the same toxic gases. For
physiological reasons adults are not put at
risk by this gas generation in beds, but a
bedsharing baby can die within a short
period of time.
Why
do dummies (pacifiers,
soothers) appear to reduce cot death risk?
Mothers who
wish to use a dummy will very often sleep
the baby face-up so that the dummy stays in
place. And face-up sleeping reduces the risk
of cot death, because the gases which cause
cot death are more dense than air and a baby
sleeping face-up is less likely to ingest
them. So it is not the dummy which reduces
cot death risk, but rather the statistical
likelihood that the baby using the dummy
will be sleeping face-up.
Cot
death rates in various
countries fell during the 1990s but have now
levelled out and are no longer falling. Why
is this?
In most
countries these reductions in cot death
rates were the result of face-up sleeping
campaigns. However, for reasons relating to
the chemistry of the gases which cause cot
death, face-up sleeping is only a partial
preventive. In particular, it is not very
effective against the danger posed by
phosphine. As a result, all face-up sleeping
campaigns (wherever they occur) achieve a
reduction of around 40~45% in the cot death
rate, at which point the rate hits a plateau
and does not fall further. This plateau has
now been reached in the USA and Canada.
In
many countries where
there is an indigenous or coloured minority
population, that group has a much higher cot
death rate than the local European
population. Why is this?
Cot death has
a strong socio-economic bias, because less
well-off parents are much more likely to use
secondhand or previously used mattresses for
their babies. Since, therefore, indigenous
and coloured populations are frequently in
low income groups (e.g. African
Americans, Canadian Indians, Australian
Aborigines and Maori New Zealanders), these
groups also have very high cot death rates.
In addition, some minority ethnic groups
(e.g. Maori New Zealanders) traditionally
bedshare with their babies, and adults'
mattresses are by definition re-used
mattresses.
How does the toxic gas theory
explain cot deaths which occur in adults'
arms?
If a baby has
been lying in a cot or on some surface where
he or she has been exposed to a lethal dose
of toxic gas, and as a result the mechanism
of death is already occurring when the baby
is picked up, the baby can die while being
held in the adult's arms. Also, cot death
can occur in an adult's arms if a baby
is picked up and held in an item of bedding
which is generating toxic gas.
Is cot death cause by
babies re-breathing their exhaled carbon
dioxide?
No. All
babies exhale a similar amount of carbon
dioxide, regardless of whether they are
first, second, third or later babies in
a family. Therefore, the statistical
finding that the cot death rate rises
from one sibling in a family to the next
disproves the carbon dioxide theory.
Does cot death have any medical
or physiological cause?
No. For
more information on this topic click on
the sidebar heading Cot death:
no medical cause.
Autopsies have shown that cot
death babies frequently have bacterial
and fungal infections in their throats
and lungs. Why is this?
The
conditions in the baby's bedding which
favoured the growth of fungi generating
toxic gases would also have favoured the
growth of other micro-organisms, which
the baby has then breathed in. Many of
these other micro-organisms would be
harmless, but they would still be
noticeable at autopsy.
Why aren't there many cot deaths
among babies less than one month old?
A
significant number of babies sleep on
new mattresses, and it takes around one
month for fungi capable of gas
generation to become established in a
mattress. However, a baby less than one
month old can die of cot death if he or
she is placed on a mattress which has
recently been used by another baby and
is already capable of generating toxic
gas.
Why do relatively
few cot deaths occur among babies over
six months old?
An older baby
is more able to
respond physically to the initial
distress which is caused the exposure to
the toxic gases. An older baby
experiencing this distress (e.g. the
initial headache which occurs) can take
action by flailing around in the cot,
throwing off bedding, or sitting or
standing up in the cot. This attracts
the attention of adults. It also
disperses gases from around the baby; or
physically removes the baby from the
gases (if the baby sits or stands up in
the cot), since these gases are more
dense than air.
Why is the cot
death rate higher for twins than for
singleton babies?
First, if the twins are not the
mother's first pregnancy, often
the mother already has a cot
mattress. Secondly, many twins
sleep in the same cot when they
are very young babies, but at
some point while still within
the cot death risk age are
separated so that they are
sleeping in separate cots. Both
of these situations require a
second mattress to be obtained.
As a consequence, it often
occurs that one twin in a family
sleeps on a previously used
mattress, while the other twin
sleeps on a new mattress. This
has the result that the cot
death rate among twins is
significantly higher than among
singleton babies; also it is
statistically much more likely
that one twin will die of cot
death than the other. The twin
sleeping on the re-used mattress
is at around double the cot
death risk of the twin sleeping
on the new mattress.
Given that millions of unwrapped
mattresses contain phosphorus,
arsenic or antimony, why aren't
there more cot deaths?
In order for cot death to occur,
the following circumstances must
co-exist in the baby's cot:
1. The mattress (or other
bedding) beneath the baby must
contain phosphorus, arsenic or
antimony.
2. The condition of the
mattress or bedding must support
fungal growth (for example, be
damp with sweat or milk, or
contaminated with urine).
3. Fungi capable of
generating gases from
phosphorus, arsenic and
antimony must be growing in
the mattress or bedding.
4. The fungi must be
sufficiently active to
produce a lethal dose of the
gases.
5. The baby must ingest a
lethal dose (for example,
because the baby is sleeping
face down, or because there
is insufficient ventilation
around the baby to disperse
the gases).
It
is uncommon for all these
circumstances to co-exist in
a baby's cot. Many babies
are exposed to sub-lethal
doses of toxic gas/es in
their cots, and no immediate
harm results. Occasionally,
however, all the above
circumstances do co-exist
and a cot death ensues.